Current odds on Worm: June 30, 2027 69%, March 31, 2027 58%, December 31, 2026 3%.

Odds are shown as implied probabilities and move as people trade.

$7.1K has been traded on this market so far.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Yes. Leverage trading is available on this market on Worm. Leverage magnifies both gains and losses, and leveraged positions can be liquidated.