Current odds on Worm: March 31, 2027 26%, December 31, 2026 15%, November 30, 2026 5%, November 15, 2026 3%, November 8, 2026 <1%.

Odds are shown as implied probabilities and move as people trade.

$4.8K has been traded on this market so far.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio ceases to be U.S. Secretary of State for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Marco Rubio's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Marco Rubio and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Yes. Leverage trading is available on this market on Worm. Leverage magnifies both gains and losses, and leveraged positions can be liquidated.