Current odds on Worm: Democrat >99%, Republican <1%.

Odds are shown as implied probabilities and move as people trade.

$2.4K has been traded on this market so far.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona Secretary of State election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Yes. Leverage trading is available on this market on Worm. Leverage magnifies both gains and losses, and leveraged positions can be liquidated.