Worm

Comments

Will Napoli win against Roma on Feb 15?

Market Details

38%chance

$31.32 vol.

Description

If SSC Napoli wins the upcoming game scheduled for February 15, 2026, this market will resolve to 'Yes'. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion. If canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 'No'. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if SSC Napoli wins against AS Roma within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Otherwise, 'No'.
2
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
3
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to 'No'.
4
Resolution based on official results from Serie A (legaseriea.it).
5
Deadline: 15 February 2026, 19:45 (UTC).

Comments

worm

Keir Starmer to cease as UK PM?

Market Details

5%chance

$10,898.5 vol.

Description

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of resignation before this deadline will also trigger a 'Yes' resolution.

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, 'No'.
2
If an announcement of resignation occurs before February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Yes'.
3
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Comments

worm

Country to win most golds 2026 Winter Olympics?

Market Details

98%chance

$21,286.19 vol.

Description

This market predicts which country will win the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics held in Milan-Cortina, Italy. The outcome will be determined by the official medal counts at the end of the event.

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Norway wins the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics. Otherwise, 'No'.
2
If the event is canceled or the medal count is unavailable by 29 February 2026, this market will resolve to 'No'.
3
Resolution will be based on the official medal counts from the International Olympic Committee.

Comments

worm

Elon Musk to buy Ryanair by Jun 30?

Market Details

3%chance

$7,540.48 vol.

Description

This market predicts whether Elon Musk will enter into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, based on credible reporting and official announcements.

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by 30 June 2026, 23:59 (UTC-04:00). Otherwise, 'No'.
2
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
3
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward 'Yes' resolution.
4
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Comments

worm

US to acquire Greenland by end of 2026?

Market Details

12%chance

$18,274.42 vol.

Description

This market concerns whether the United States will officially announce that Greenland will come under US sovereignty on or before December 31, 2026.

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the government of the United States of America officially announces that Greenland has come under its sovereignty between 10 January 2026, 17:32 (UTC) and 31 December 2026, 23:59 (UTC). Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
2
Resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of the United States or Denmark. In the absence of such announcements, reports from major news outlets (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or The New York Times) will be considered authoritative.
3
If no official announcement or credible news report is made by 07 January 2027, 23:59 (UTC), this market will resolve to 'No'.

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Will Napoli win against Roma on Feb 15?

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Comments

worm

Will Napoli win against Roma on Feb 15?

Market Details

38%chance

$31.32 vol.

Description

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if SSC Napoli wins against AS Roma within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Otherwise, 'No'.
2
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
3
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to 'No'.
4
Resolution based on official results from Serie A (legaseriea.it).
5
Deadline: 15 February 2026, 19:45 (UTC).

Comments

worm

Keir Starmer to cease as UK PM?

Market Details

5%chance

$10,898.5 vol.

Description

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between September 14, 2025, and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, 'No'.
2
If an announcement of resignation occurs before February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Yes'.
3
The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Comments

worm

Country to win most golds 2026 Winter Olympics?

Market Details

98%chance

$21,286.19 vol.

Description

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if Norway wins the most gold medals at the 2026 Winter Olympics. Otherwise, 'No'.
2
If the event is canceled or the medal count is unavailable by 29 February 2026, this market will resolve to 'No'.
3
Resolution will be based on the official medal counts from the International Olympic Committee.

Comments

worm

Elon Musk to buy Ryanair by Jun 30?

Market Details

3%chance

$7,540.48 vol.

Description

This market predicts whether Elon Musk will enter into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, based on credible reporting and official announcements.

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by 30 June 2026, 23:59 (UTC-04:00). Otherwise, 'No'.
2
An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.
3
An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward 'Yes' resolution.
4
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Comments

worm

US to acquire Greenland by end of 2026?

Market Details

12%chance

$18,274.42 vol.

Description

This market concerns whether the United States will officially announce that Greenland will come under US sovereignty on or before December 31, 2026.

Outcomes

Yes

Rules

1
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the government of the United States of America officially announces that Greenland has come under its sovereignty between 10 January 2026, 17:32 (UTC) and 31 December 2026, 23:59 (UTC). Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
2
Resolution will be based on official announcements from the governments of the United States or Denmark. In the absence of such announcements, reports from major news outlets (such as the Associated Press, Reuters, or The New York Times) will be considered authoritative.
3
If no official announcement or credible news report is made by 07 January 2027, 23:59 (UTC), this market will resolve to 'No'.